Russia And Ukraine

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Russia and Ukraine
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 Ragnarok.Hevans
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By Ragnarok.Hevans 2014-03-29 14:28:35
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too much disinformation in threads here. regardless of whether or not he's being serious i hate that quote of a ukrainian politicians estimate of 100k. our army has been watching russian troop movements and says there are around 50k. don't want more *** non substantiated arguments where the number is doubled arbitrarily.
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 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-29 14:36:13
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Even 50,000 is aiming high, but the number doesn't matter, if Russia decides to roll into the Ukraine, the Ukrainians aren't going to stop them. They aren't Georgia. Doubt it happens tho, Putin is dumb but he isn't going to jump off the cliff.
 Bahamut.Kara
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By Bahamut.Kara 2014-03-29 14:59:28
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Voren said: »
Out of curiosity anyone know if Russia's economy was any worse/better during their soviet era?

Article comparing USSR to Russia.
Quote:
The market reforms of the early 1990s led to Russia’s ‘transformational recession’ – an unprecedented collapse of national output. From 1989 to 1998, real GDP fell to 55 percent of pre-recession levels – levels to which Russia would not return for another 10 years. By that time, the 2008 financial and economic crisis would hit Russia hard. Only by 2011-2012 would Russia’s GDP finally exceed the levels of the late Soviet period.

GDP per capita
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 Odin.Jassik
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By Odin.Jassik 2014-03-29 16:10:37
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Bahamut.Kara said: »
Voren said: »
Out of curiosity anyone know if Russia's economy was any worse/better during their soviet era?

Article comparing USSR to Russia.
Quote:
The market reforms of the early 1990s led to Russia’s ‘transformational recession’ – an unprecedented collapse of national output. From 1989 to 1998, real GDP fell to 55 percent of pre-recession levels – levels to which Russia would not return for another 10 years. By that time, the 2008 financial and economic crisis would hit Russia hard. Only by 2011-2012 would Russia’s GDP finally exceed the levels of the late Soviet period.

GDP per capita

At the current time, it's marginally worse than it was at the height of the USSR if you consider the strong dip in the Ruble and the rate of decline from foreign investments. Basically, they're not better off right now than they were 25 years ago.
 Ragnarok.Hevans
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By Ragnarok.Hevans 2014-03-29 16:25:25
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in all fairness, neither are we.
 Ragnarok.Nausi
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By Ragnarok.Nausi 2014-03-29 16:31:17
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Not with limp noodle Obama calling the shots, we aren't.
 Ragnarok.Nausi
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By Ragnarok.Nausi 2014-03-29 16:31:17
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Not with limp noodle Obama calling the shots, we aren't.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-29 16:31:34
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Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
in all fairness, neither are we.

I thought Cuba was going pretty well in the last 10 years GDP wise?
 Ragnarok.Hevans
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By Ragnarok.Hevans 2014-03-29 16:42:07
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Shiva.Viciousss said: »
Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
in all fairness, neither are we.

I thought Cuba was going pretty well in the last 10 years GDP wise?


*not sure if serious...*
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 Lakshmi.Zerowone
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By Lakshmi.Zerowone 2014-03-29 16:48:04
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Main problem with comparing the Soviet and Russian economy is that the Soviet Union did a lot of market manipulation, much like how China is guilty of inflating their true value. Being that Putin is a former head of the KGB it wouldn't be surprising if his administration starts cooking the books and people start believing that their market has not been impacted, or is stronger than it really is.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-29 16:49:01
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Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
Shiva.Viciousss said: »
Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
in all fairness, neither are we.

I thought Cuba was going pretty well in the last 10 years GDP wise?


*not sure if serious...*

lol, well our GDP has doubled in the last 25 years, despite two high cost wars that accomplished nothing, so I wasn't sure if you were serious either.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-29 16:52:40
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Lakshmi.Zerowone said: »
Main problem with comparing the Soviet and Russian economy is that the Soviet Union did a lot of market manipulation, much like how China is guilty of inflating their true value. Being that Putin is a former head of the KGB it wouldn't be surprising if his administration starts cooking the books and people start believing that their market has not been impacted, or is stronger than it really is.

This could have been a possibility, but Russia basically just had to open its books for the IOC and prove they were capable of funding the Olympics. Not sure why the IOC believed them, and I remain baffled how the Brazilians pulled off that sell job, hell, I don't even know how Madrid was a finalist for the 2020 games, but whatever! Anyways, we are pretty aware of where the Russian economy is at right now.
 Odin.Jassik
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By Odin.Jassik 2014-03-29 17:17:15
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Lakshmi.Zerowone said: »
Main problem with comparing the Soviet and Russian economy is that the Soviet Union did a lot of market manipulation, much like how China is guilty of inflating their true value. Being that Putin is a former head of the KGB it wouldn't be surprising if his administration starts cooking the books and people start believing that their market has not been impacted, or is stronger than it really is.

State sponsored media has actually pinned the pullout of foreign investment as a good thing, pushing nationalist ideas of domestic ownership, and the Russian public eats it up.
 Ragnarok.Hevans
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By Ragnarok.Hevans 2014-03-29 17:42:13
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Shiva.Viciousss said: »
Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
Shiva.Viciousss said: »
Ragnarok.Hevans said: »
in all fairness, neither are we.

I thought Cuba was going pretty well in the last 10 years GDP wise?


*not sure if serious...*

lol, well our GDP has doubled in the last 25 years, despite two high cost wars that accomplished nothing, so I wasn't sure if you were serious either.


really don't wanna derail... well don't really care, but would prefer not to derail this thread into a gdp vs inflation, income inequality, and shrinking of the middle class. so... yeah. wutever.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-29 18:10:52
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Odin.Jassik said: »
Lakshmi.Zerowone said: »
Main problem with comparing the Soviet and Russian economy is that the Soviet Union did a lot of market manipulation, much like how China is guilty of inflating their true value. Being that Putin is a former head of the KGB it wouldn't be surprising if his administration starts cooking the books and people start believing that their market has not been impacted, or is stronger than it really is.

State sponsored media has actually pinned the pullout of foreign investment as a good thing, pushing nationalist ideas of domestic ownership, and the Russian public eats it up.

It's pretty amazing how brainwashable people that are actually in touch with 2014 are.
 Bismarck.Aselin
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By Bismarck.Aselin 2014-03-30 23:36:42
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http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ukraine-crisis/tour-ukraine-russia-border-finds-no-signs-military-buildup-n67336

TL;DR summary:

NBC News traveled 1000-plus miles along the border of Ukraine and Russia but found no build-up of Russian military.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-30 23:47:59
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Thats so cute, good for those guys at nbc news.
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 Bismarck.Aselin
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By Bismarck.Aselin 2014-03-30 23:52:09
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In other news, supposedly Putin wants Finland back:
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/vladimir-putin-wants-regain-finland-says-close-adviser-1442466

(... according to his close adviser.)

Look out Finns, it doesn't look like Crimea was his first and last stop in Europe.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-31 00:01:39
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That is just adorable, the trolls will just eat it up.
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By 2014-03-31 00:06:56
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 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-31 00:08:02
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That link is definitely bad, both of them crashed my browser.
 Bismarck.Aselin
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By Bismarck.Aselin 2014-03-31 00:13:47
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So weird, it works in Waterfox v.27 (64-bit Firefox) and Firefox 29. I wonder what would be causing it.

My apologies.

Here's a PDF printout of the article:

http://www.mmo-notepad.com/files/putin_wants_finland_back.pdf
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By Voren 2014-03-31 01:27:34
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I'd like to input this for anyone thinking Russia would fold to the US or lolNATO.


YouTube Video Placeholder


Training guns? Ain't no Russian go time fo dat.
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By Voren 2014-03-31 01:39:36
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Thanks Kara for the info, I was too lazy to go search google....yet again.

So some of the reports on news sites about this Russia-Ukraine ordeal and how Russia has taken a significant financial hit in their markets could be blown out of proportion? I mean, if Their GDP declined 55 percent and they still pulled through, why would Putin give a single solitary rats hairy backside about what kind of a hit the market takes.

I have a feeling that if this were to have occurred pre-9/11 that the US would be doing more than simply saying "hold up there Mr. Putin, you can't do that, don't make us use harsh language and sanctions on you". This isn't a jab at Obama, because honestly, I don't think Bush Jr would have done anything different had this occurred during his presidency, hence pre-9/11.
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By Jetackuu 2014-03-31 01:54:54
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Bismarck.Aselin said: »
So weird, it works in Waterfox v.27 (64-bit Firefox) and Firefox 29. I wonder what would be causing it.

My apologies.

Here's a PDF printout of the article:

http://www.mmo-notepad.com/files/putin_wants_finland_back.pdf
works fine for me...

then again, on 28.
 Odin.Godofgods
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By Odin.Godofgods 2014-03-31 13:26:01
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Quote:
Finland Frets as Russia Launches Military Drills on Its Doorstep
By Alexander Smith, Alastair Jamieson and Albina Kovalyova

Russian military drills near neighboring Finland have provoked concern that northern Europe may be the next focus of Moscow's seemingly renewed appetite for redrawing its borders.

Troops and jet fighters from all four military regions of Russia were deployed Sunday about 150 miles east of the Finnish border, according to the English-language newspaper Finnbay. The Russian defense ministry said in a statement that the exercises were pre-planned and that more than 50 fighter pilots took part.

Finland was part of the Russian empire for 108 years, from 1809 until Russia’s withdrawal from World War I in 1917. The Karelia region, where the war games are taking place, straddles the Finnish border and has historically been a heavily militarized zone for Moscow.

But experts say that while Moscow appears to have seized another opportunity to flex its muscles, the threat of an armed invasion is very low.

According to Dr. Jonathan Eyal, international director at London's Royal United Services Institute think tank, there is "no question" that these exercises show that Russia is testing its power in the region, which was reshaped by the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991.

"In pure capability terms, the Russians are preparing an operation," Eyal said. "The question is: Is there an actual military threat? I do not think there will be."

Eyal said that while Russia's annexation of Crimea has put a spotlight on its foreign policy, tension with Finland and Sweden is not new. This was shown as recently as last year when Russian jets flew toward Swedish airspace, causing Stockholm to scramble its air force, he said.

But he said that Scandinavia and the Baltic states have sensed renewed danger in recent days because "Putin is an opportunist, and if the opportunity arises he will pick up on it."

Andrew Kutchins, a senior fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the proximity of the drills had made the alarm most palpable in Finland.

"The people of Helsinki are nervous," he said. "What Putin is doing is sending shock waves through Europe." However, Kutchins added that the likelihood of immediate military action appeared "very far-fetched."

This anxiety was heightened Sunday after one of Putin's closest former advisers told the Swedish newspaper Svenska Dagbladet that the Kremlin would seek "historical justice" by reclaiming Finland and ex-Soviet countries as part of an enlarged Russian Federation.

"Putin's view is that he protects what belongs to him and his predecessors," wrote Andrei Illarionov, according to a translation by the Moscow Times.

"Parts of Georgia, Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltic states and Finland are states where Putin claims to have ownership," said Illarionov, who is now a senior fellow at the Washington, D.C.,-based Cato Institute.

Illarionov, who was chief economic adviser to Putin until 2005 and is described by the Moscow Times as an outspoken Kremlin critic, said Putin could argue the Communist revolution of 1917 was a "treason against national interests."

"It is not on Putin's agenda today or tomorrow," Illarionov added. "But if Putin is not stopped, the issue will be brought sooner or later."

The reason experts think Finland is more secure than Ukraine is that although neither are members of NATO, the former is more protected by its European Union membership.

"Finland isn't Ukraine," said Oliver Bullough, commentator and author of "Last Man In Russia." "It might not be a NATO member but it is in the European Union and you can bet that if Russia were to start invading members of the E.U., the E.U. would have something to say about it."

Bullough said the Russians had a "grudging respect" for the Finns because of the way they resisted Moscow's Red Army during World War II. Apart from Britain and the Soviet Union, Finland was the only European nation involved in the war to avert a foreign occupation.

Research consultant Kathleen McInnis pointed out that Finland is connected to NATO in that it has taken part in NATO-led actions, including Kosovo and Afghanistan.

"Recently there has been discussion in Finland about joining NATO, but opinion remains in favor of a defense partnership with Sweden," said McInnis, who is based at the London-based think tank Chatham House.

Add to that Finland's recent agreement to start discussions with Sweden over a defense partnership, and an incursion by Moscow looks less likely.

Perhaps the key difference between Finland and Ukraine is that Putin does not have a tangible excuse with which to exercise the Kremlin's influence abroad.

In the swift annexation of Crimea, he spoke of the need to protect ethnic Russians living in the peninsula from what he called the illegitimate fascist regime in Kiev.

But Eyal said that it is wrong to assume Russia's only option is a brute-force invasion.

"Russia could put pressure on Scandinavia not to come to the aid of the three Baltic states [Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania], which do have Russian ethnic minorities," he said. "Or they could warn in advance for Finland and Sweden not to join NATO. It's a key foreign policy for Russia to prevent NATO's enlargement."

Source
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By Moonwalkerv 2014-03-31 13:35:31
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^ Why is a union with Sweden a good idea? They have sat out every single conflict for the last 150 or so years...not such a reliable ally.


The Finns should get their butts into NATO.
 Shiva.Viciousss
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By Shiva.Viciousss 2014-03-31 14:12:43
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Finland doesn't have a lot to offer NATO, being in the EU is enough for them to be safe.
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 Lakshmi.Sparthosx
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By Lakshmi.Sparthosx 2014-03-31 14:37:03
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Finland is sympathetic towards Russia, NATO membership would strain that relationship.
 Bismarck.Aselin
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By Bismarck.Aselin 2014-03-31 23:41:19
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