Updated Ninjutsu Damage Formulae

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Updated Ninjutsu Damage Formulae
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By Izanami 2022-06-20 20:23:42
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 Lakshmi.Byrth
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By Lakshmi.Byrth 2022-06-20 21:33:33
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Nice testing!

Your residuals in the third regime of the Ni and Ichi best fits implies that your slope is wrong, quite possibly because you're fitting discrete measurements with a continuous model.

In addition, if you get the correct order of operations / floor steps and the right constants, then you should end up with 0 residuals. Ninjutsu damage in FFXI isn't something biological/human behavior. It should be algorithmic/deterministic. Mougurijin is that one that primarily did this for black magic, although, to your point, he didn't leave much raw data around. There aren't that many multipliers here (particularly with 0 MAB), so you should be able to do it basically through trial and error.
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By Izanami 2022-06-20 21:57:25
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Lakshmi.Byrth said: »
Nice testing!

Your residuals in the third regime of the Ni and Ichi best fits implies that your slope is wrong, quite possibly because you're fitting discrete measurements with a continuous model.

In addition, if you get the correct order of operations / floor steps and the right constants, then you should end up with 0 residuals. Ninjutsu damage in FFXI isn't something biological/human behavior. It should be algorithmic/deterministic.

I agree with this entirely. Even though there are only 2~3 possible locations I can truncate or rearrange terms, I was unable to exactly reproduce the damage seen in game. This was frustrating so I decided I would return to it at a later date after I'd made this post. The values here are good enough approximations for general use, and my publicly-available data set may allow others to solve the issue of "order of operations" for me in the mean time.

Lakshmi.Byrth said: »
Mougurijin is that one that primarily did this for black magic, although, to your point, he didn't leave much raw data around. There aren't that many multipliers here (particularly with 0 MAB), so you should be able to do it basically through trial and error.

Thanks for the link. I hadn't seen this page yet. I'll look into it further to try to solve the issues with my residuals.

I have tried recruiting Ninja with capped Ninjutsu Skill and 0 job points to further explore the issues with my Ichi/Ni residuals. Being a mastered Ninja, I have +28 Matk and +40 Magic Damage that partially complicate the equations. Unfortunately, nobody was available within my linkshell that satisfied my requirement at the time of testing.


Edit 2022 June 21: I think I solved the issue already. See my next post.
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By SimonSes 2022-06-21 04:28:30
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I had the same sets pretty much in my sheet for nukes. Have you checked Nyame path C just to see how crazy upgrade it is? R25 body/legs/hands are like 30%+ damage for free nukes and like 50%+ magic bursts.

Also R25 feet and head are touching (head might even beats Relic+3 for Magic burst) Relic+3 and assuming datamined stats for R30, head will be even for free nukes and significantly better for MB, while feet will be marginally worse for free nukes, but slightly better for magic bursts.

Now imagine path C will get INT +10 as 4th stat or something... (or Magic Critical hit rate II +%...)
 Cerberus.Shadowmeld
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By Cerberus.Shadowmeld 2022-06-21 08:54:58
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Is there any reason you felt the need to make 3 separate sets for Ichi/Ni/San? The only difference in the free nuke set is Shiva Ring +1 instead of Dingir, and all 3 sets are exactly the same for bursting.
 Quetzalcoatl.Langly
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By Quetzalcoatl.Langly 2022-06-21 09:07:27
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Well done.
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 Valefor.Furyspawn
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By Valefor.Furyspawn 2022-06-21 11:25:08
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For free nuking, how would a pair of max-augmented Malevolences compare?

     Ambu Katana/Dagger     Malevolence
INT     15+15     10+10
Magic Accuracy     40+40     35+35
"Magic Atk. Bonus"     16+16     44+44
Magic Damage     217+217     118+118
Magic Accuracy skill     250/250     201/201
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By SimonSes 2022-06-21 14:00:04
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Valefor.Furyspawn said: »
For free nuking, how would a pair of max-augmented Malevolences compare?

Not even close. Pair of Ambus is far ahead (~33% on :ni and ~27% on :san)
 Asura.Sechs
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By Asura.Sechs 2022-06-21 14:14:30
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Does Perfect Ochu (from Sinister Reign) still have a place somewhere in the burst sets? If not, how far behind is it in the tier list of useful weapons for Ninjutsu bursting?

Same question for Perfect Samnuha Coat. Any use for that, supposing you can cap burst damage with the other slots.
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By SimonSes 2022-06-21 14:42:42
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Asura.Sechs said: »
Does Perfect Ochu (from Sinister Reign) still have a place somewhere in the burst sets? If not, how far behind is it in the tier list of useful weapons for Ninjutsu bursting?

Like 10% behind Ambu.

Asura.Sechs said: »
Same question for Perfect Samnuha Coat. Any use for that, supposing you can cap burst damage with the other slots.

It's very close to base Nyame (same on :Ni and slightly worse on :San) in current sets. That's assume 4%MBBI is from Nyame Body. You would need to tell me specifically what item you would want to use to get that 4% elsewhere, because I dont see any.
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By Izanami 2022-06-21 19:27:56
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Thanks for your patience.

I've updated the main post to reflect the following changes since yesterday. Let me know if you see any errors.


1) I've explored the issue mentioned by Byrth about some of my residuals showing a pattern and not being randomly distributed around the residual=0 line. I believe that these patterns are actually expected to occur given that we are fitting truncated data to a non-truncated, interpolated, model. Additionally, the shape of the patterns present in the residuals are determined by my model grid step size (i.e. by exactly where the model grid interpolation lands as its "best" fit).

Given that my data was not taken from nature, and technically has zero formal uncertainty, it should not necessarily follow a Gaussian or Poisson distribution centered on 0 residual. It should follow a more uniform distribution, with roughly an equal number of data points above the residual=0 line as there are below. Data points being weighted more above or below the residual=0 line suggests a slightly incorrect "V" value, while a constant and linear slope across the residuals suggests a slightly incorrect "M" value (certainly off by less than 0.01 if you consider the values obtained from the fits - minus the M=0.45 for the smallest dINT range for "Ichi" spells. That one is clearly off by 0.05...), as pointed out by Byrth. Ideally you want them all to be exactly 0, though.


2) I found and corrected two typos in my published data tables:

- dINT=59 showed 248 damage instead of 250 damage
- dINT=203 showed 1298 damage instead of 1296 damage.

My data collection was entered manually after every one to three ninjutsu casts. I'm glad there only appear to be two typos considering how tedious this task was. The data tables in my GitHub repository have also been updated.

3) After correcting the two data typos, I am now able to exactly recover the damage for all nukes across the entire observed dINT range using a simple spreadsheet, based on the values obtained through my minimization fitting. See the main post's new "Spreadsheet Manipulation" subsection for the details.

Unfortunately, I am only able to obtain a perfect match if I set the "Ni" and "San" ninjutsu skill caps to 349 and 499, respectively. A "San" ninjutsu skill cap of 499 directly conflicts with two separate data sets I've collected that each demonstrate an increase in damage at 500 skill compared to 499 skill (see my Data Collection ""San" ninjutsu skill upper limit data table." spoiler for details). The simple solution I speculate on is the "San" Ninjutsu Skill Potency Bonus using ("Ninjutsu Skill" - 1) in its equation. I do not plan to explore this further for now, but I invite somebody else to take up the challenge.


SimonSes said: »
Valefor.Furyspawn said: »
For free nuking, how would a pair of max-augmented Malevolences compare?

Not even close. Pair of Ambus is far ahead (~33% on :ni and ~27% on :san)

I find similar results: perfect malevolence are far behind the ambuscade weapons. Magic damage is a relatively rare stat. The extra +99 magic damage on each of the ambuscade weapons is potent when you consider how much it increases your base damage. This extra magic damage then gets multiplied by the various multipliers, such as magic attack bonus ratio, ninjutsu skill potency, Orpheus's Sash, magic bursts, etc.
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 Lakshmi.Kingofbastok
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By Lakshmi.Kingofbastok 2022-06-26 10:08:57
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That's interesting to see that V = 28.5 for Ichi because I always had it at 28 before, but I just did some testing on a lower lvl job with nin sub and 28.5 is the only number that works, while 28 didn't fit my numbers. I never see a V with a decimal in it, but only looked at Ninjutsu and Regular Nukes on BG Wiki.

As for the San Skill Lvl Capping at 500 and not 499, is it possible that the lower Skill Lvl actually starts at 276 and not 275? If so, your numbers should still work, since the multiplier will be 2.12 instead of 2.125 at capped skill and also your friend's dmg not changing at 275 to 276 would suggest it starts to increase at 277, since there was no change in dmg. Also, I think the multiplier is floored to two digits after the decimal point. The only number I can't get to work from your friend's San lower skill table is the 297 skill being 299 dmg using the 276 skill as the lower skill value.
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 Fenrir.Jinxs
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By Fenrir.Jinxs 2025-05-26 23:16:43
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What happened to the nuking sets that were on this page?
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By Nariont 2025-05-27 00:58:12
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Can find a BiS nuke set on the nin sets page in bgwiki still
 Fenrir.Jinxs
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By Fenrir.Jinxs 2025-05-27 07:08:19
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I am not seeing one
 Asura.Lunafreya
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By Asura.Lunafreya 2025-05-27 08:08:00
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https://www.bg-wiki.com/ffxi/All_Jobs_Gear_Sets/Ninja
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 Fenrir.Jinxs
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By Fenrir.Jinxs 2025-05-27 08:53:54
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Thanks I've been on that page sp many times and never seen it till mobile. I guess it just blends in
 Fenrir.Jinxs
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By Fenrir.Jinxs 2025-05-27 11:29:15
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Anyone know anything about the debuffs?
All I could find was they dont have a dstat so I am assuming that means int and etc has no effect on potency.

I think I recall someone in one of the recent threads saying skill has no effect either.

So is it just load up on macc?
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By Nariont 2025-05-27 11:34:21
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purely macc/skill for landing iirc, potency is static so it either lands or it doesnt
 Leviathan.Draugo
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By Leviathan.Draugo 2025-05-27 11:35:42
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Ninjutsu skill affects the spell interruption rate, potency, and magic accuracy of ninjutsu spells.

Direct quote from BG.

Edit: Also from there:

Unlike Enfeebling Magic, which depend on dStat, Ninjutsu debuffs all have a static potency as long as they land. The higher tier spell always has greater potency and casts faster. Therefore, it's best to simply stack as much magical accuracy and Ninjutsu Skill as possible when trying to land them, and to always use the highest tier spell available to you.
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By Nariont 2025-05-27 11:38:04
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Potency only applies to nukes, and i think migawari still. Everything else is set
 Leviathan.Draugo
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By Leviathan.Draugo 2025-05-27 11:42:35
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Migawari is affected by skill. Stack skill for nukes, migawari, and debuff. Stack skill/int/mab for nukes, stack macc and skill for debuffs. Stack boots and back in midcast for utsu. Stack skill for other buffs also.

Edit: I think int might also play a role in baseline magic acc also though, so if nothing else, more int may not hurt.
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By Nariont 2025-05-27 12:09:13
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skill on debuffs is 1:1 macc so its mainly going to be in accessories for that as most/all(?) the armor slots have better macc pieces until +4 comes out maybe, from what i recall of testing int had no impact on accuracy but could be mistaken.

outside of miga buffs are static, better off stacking sird if you put on anything at all

nukes are skill/int/etc but skill is pretty minor in potency that its mainly everything else aside from relic boots and thats cause of the aug rather than the skill
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 Leviathan.Draugo
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By Leviathan.Draugo 2025-05-27 14:10:26
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For self buffing, reason I say stack skill is to help with SIRD. But yeah, if you have to choose between pure SIRD or just skill, pick SIRD for sure on self buffs, max skill on migawari for sure (I think it's tiered though, so if you're min maxing that hard, be aware of the migawari skill tiers)

Edit: for self buffs aside from migawari and utsu, it should be extremely rare to get interrupted while casting them, mainly because utsusemi should always be on before refreshing buffs mid fight, but, there is the very rare off chance that you're on the last couple shadows while at the same time midcasting a buff refresh while also aob happens to wipe your remaining shadows. So yea best practice I guess would still be to swap in SIRD midcast on those spells specifically.

Edit2: macc>skill for debuffs if you're comparing equal values, skill>macc+mab for nukes, if you're comparing equal values, because skill = macc and mab, if I am not mistaken.