Random Politics & Religion #31: 2018 Edition

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Random Politics & Religion #31: 2018 Edition
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 Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2018-02-05 18:26:02
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fonewear said: »
Dem counter memo:

To whom it may concern don't believe them believe us !

Thanks Democrats.

After all that ***they said earlier about harming national security this move looks too transparent.

As for the Dow this was the long expected sell out.

https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/djia

Set it to 3Y and you can see the reason there was a sell off. Everyone who was in the market last since early last year was sitting on a very nice gain and needed to sell in order to release that gain for reinvestment. After selling their stocks, they go back in a few weeks later and scoop them back up cheaply. Automated buy / sell systems make this really easy to do.

As for why it all happened in one day, welcome to automated trading. Everyone has their sell indicators set to approximately the same value so one group of investors selling stocks when no one is buying will cause the value to suddenly drop triggering everyone's sell alerts and causing the market to dip suddenly right before closing hours stop. If the market is *** up in a week then we'll know something bad has happened.


The real interesting part is how the Democrats WANT the market to crash and people to suffer. How thirsty for revenge must they be to actively want to inflict pain and suffering on innocent people.
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 Garuda.Chanti
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By Garuda.Chanti 2018-02-05 21:22:47
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Saeval, the market is gambling. No one who is in the market should fail to understand that.

Some win, some loose, and Trump has nothing to do with how the Dow performs.

Of course he takes credit for when it does good and will blame anyone else when it doesn't.

Innocence has nothing to do with it.

What planet do you live on?
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 Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2018-02-05 22:19:01
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Garuda.Chanti said: »
Saeval, the market is gambling.

Day trading is gambling, the market as a whole isn't gambling, it has patterns and can be observed. That is why I linked you that site, which you didn't pay any attention to or even bother with. You can see the market trending upward and then spike near the end of 2017, spikes like that ~ALWAYS~ have a sharp drop that follows them. Predicting exactly when that downward drop is the gambling part, and right now it's not even really gambling because virtually the entire trading market is run by computers. Only a minority of traders actually sit there and pick out stocks to trade, instead computers are running algorithms that analyze millions of datapoints of the entire market and attempt to predict when to buy and when to sell. It's extremely effective, precise and ridiculously expensive. There's a whole other discussion about HFT and it's effect on the world.

Garuda.Chanti said: »
Trump has nothing to do with how the Dow performs.

Umm that's debatable. The market was already recovering off the 2008 recession during President Obama's time but most of that return was being horded because companies don't trust an anti-business Democrat President. Instead they dig themselves in and wait for some catalyst or opportunity to make dramatic moves. President Trump gave them exactly that, not with some policy or Presidential decree but merely being a Republican who was openly pro-business. What President Trump did was make it clear he would never allow government to attempt to confiscate large amounts of corporate wealth for redistribution via welfare programs. Hillary and Bernie both promised to do exactly that, so if one of them had been elected companies would of dug even further in with the goal of surviving those Presidencies in better shape then their competitors.

Without a doubt Trump caused the economy to grow by merely being elected as a fiscal conservative. That made corporations open those coffers and take this time to invest and grow because they don't know how long this opportunity will last. The moment a socialist gets elected they will entrench themselves again and horde to last the winter.
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By Zerowone 2018-02-06 00:48:05
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Tax cuts go out. Corporations say their havened money will come back in.

Before the tax cut the market steadily rose. The day the tax cuts go into full effect, for the average American, the market began to decline.

Corporations said they're going to buy back stock. They aren't going to pay top dollar.

Ain't hard to tell what's going on.
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:03:35
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Garuda.Chanti said: »
Saeval, the market is gambling. No one who is in the market should fail to understand that.

Some win, some loose, and Trump has nothing to do with how the Dow performs.

Of course he takes credit for when it does good and will blame anyone else when it doesn't.

Innocence has nothing to do with it.

What planet do you live on?

Wow do you work for CNBC this is some hard hitting analysis right here !
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By Zerowone 2018-02-06 09:23:07
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I figured an accurate analysis about the Fed raising interest rates, having the largest trade deficit in 9 years and the borrowing of 1 Trillion dollars by the government wouldn’t interest you.
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:31:28
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I can't wait to tread about those interest rates. Maybe I can get Morgan Freeman to read them on an audio book.
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By Zerowone 2018-02-06 09:34:39
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fonewear said: »
I can't wait to tread about those interest rates. Maybe I can get Morgan Freeman to read them on an audio book.
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 Garuda.Chanti
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By Garuda.Chanti 2018-02-06 09:34:43
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Saevel, any investment in the market, even the "safe" strategy of buying and holding blue chips, is gambling.

Kodak was once a blue chip...

The more you trade the more risk you take.

I will say that electronic high speed trading is safe. Got a supercomputer? Can you get permission to locate it within a few miles of a major exchange and wire in?
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:37:25
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Garuda.Chanti said: »
Saevel, any investment in the market, even the "safe" strategy of buying and holding blue chips, is gambling.

Kodak was once a blue chip...

The more you trade the more risk you take.

I will say that electronic high speed trading is safe. Got a supercomputer? Can you get permission to locate it within a few miles of a major exchange and wire in?

Where can I get one of these supercomputers ? And can I play solitaire on it ?
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:41:28
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I don't have a supercomputer but I did watch Mad Money with Jim Cramer. Something about PE and IPO. I'm pretty sure I'm ready to enter the stock market.
 Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2018-02-06 09:54:41
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Garuda.Chanti said: »
Saevel, any investment in the market, even the "safe" strategy of buying and holding blue chips, is gambling.

Kodak was once a blue chip...

The more you trade the more risk you take.

I will say that electronic high speed trading is safe. Got a supercomputer? Can you get permission to locate it within a few miles of a major exchange and wire in?

Don't need a supercomputer, they use mid range mainframe type setups. The hardware loadout usually runs a half a million to a million per stack. which seems expensive but it's not in comparison to the software. Base software licensing will cost an additional $200K per year but even that's minuscule compared to real expense, the specialized algorithm software. The predictive software that does the analysis costs in the millions of USD and depending if it's built in house or not can cost a few million per year for license costs.

Supercomputers are all the talk on TV but the costs are so prohibitive that the vast number of HPC sales are the mid range stacks. The two big players were IBM and Oracle, but with the decline of Solaris on Sparc sales Oracle has started to exit the hardware market and focus on selling the middleware and database components. So now it's mostly IBM selling large kits that run Linux on x86 or Power with a variety of Middleware applications connection to an expensive powerful database.

And yes those hedge funds and other trading companies all use this method because it's orders of magnitude better then human traders. Those market hickups we see are caused precisely because those automated algorithms are so much faster then humans. The time it takes a human to process a slight market disruption is a hundred orders of magnitude longer then a computer, when aggregated across an entire industry this means market fluctuation to reaction is handled in micro-seconds instead of minutes to hours. Usually everything corrects itself within a day or two as humans realize it was the computers that overreacted to a market correction.
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:56:22
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It's all manipulated with junk bonds you can't win !
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 09:57:12
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Listen to Kramer he knows:

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 Asura.Saevel
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By Asura.Saevel 2018-02-06 09:59:22
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fonewear said: »
I don't have a supercomputer but I did watch Mad Money with Jim Cramer. Something about PE and IPO. I'm pretty sure I'm ready to enter the stock market.


Prior to repatriating back to the US I used to build and manage mid range high powered computing stacks. Expensive but not stupidly so, the real issue is their use case is pretty specific. A company would need a requirement for a lot of in-house parallel math horse power that also needs high speed local database access. That's pretty much limited to biotech, scientific, financial and defense fields. Those requirements are diminishing because cloud hosted options have become so much cheaper cost wise.
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 10:00:41
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I got a Pentium 2 processors with like 300Mhz of power baby! I'm into the system !
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 10:01:44
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In fact all of FFXIAH is run by a Pentium 2 processor the latest technology.
 
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By 2018-02-06 10:27:50
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 10:49:34
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Old Mueller had a farm E I E I O

And on his farm he had an investigation

E I E I O

With Russia here memo there here Mueller there Mueller

Everywhere a Mueller E I E I O

Old Mueller had a farm E I E I O

And on this farm he had some pigs E I E I O

With oink oink here oink oink there E I E I O

And on this website there was *** E I E I O !
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 10:51:09
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Sing it with me now:

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By fonewear 2018-02-06 10:54:49
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If any of you have kids that is a good way of explaining what Mueller does just say he has a farm...some pigs and an investigation.
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By Anna Ruthven 2018-02-06 10:55:04
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Tfw you realize E I E I O is an code used by the Illuminati and the everyday sheeple dunno what the song actually means.

#Woke
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 11:03:20
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The thing about the Illuminati is if they do exist you couldn't confirm it if you were part of it...
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 11:07:16
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Candlejack said: »
So, Trump's lawyers are trying to stop him from meeting with Mueller because Trump might perjure himself if he lies during the meeting, which we all know will happen...
Quote:
A New York Times report reveals that President Donald Trump’s lawyers have advised him against sitting down for an interview with special counsel Robert Mueller because the president, “who has a history of making false statements and contradicting himself, could be charged with lying to investigators.” Their stance “puts them at odds” with the president, who last month declared that he was “looking forward” to speaking with federal prosecutors as part of the ongoing investigation into Russian interference.

Rejecting an interview with Mueller carries political consequences, and the president is expected to issue a decision on whether he’ll cooperate with the probe in the coming weeks. Should Trump refuse to sit down for an interview, Mueller could subpoena him to testify before a grand jury, setting the stage for a court battle which could be decided by the Supreme Court. But a court fight could fuel speculation that the president has something to hide and effectively prolong the investigation, dampening Republican prospects in the approaching midterm elections.

Nevertheless, John Dowd, the attorney who is representing Trump in the special counsel’s inquiry, wants to reject an interview request. Fellow Trump attorney Jay Sekulow agrees with Dowd, as do many West Wing advisers, according to four people briefed on the matter who spoke to Times reporters on condition of anonymity. Trump’s legal team, the four individuals allege, is betting on the possibility that Mueller “might be unwilling to subpoena the president and set off a showdown with the White House that Mr. Mueller could lose in court.” As the Times notes:

They are convinced that Mr. Mueller lacks the legal standing to question Mr. Trump about some of the matters he is investigating, like the president’s role in providing a misleading response last summer to a New York Times article about a meeting Mr. Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. had with Russians offering dirt on Hillary Clinton. The advisers have also argued that on other matters — like the allegations that the president asked James B. Comey, then the F.B.I. director, to end the investigation into the former national security adviser Michael T. Flynn — the president acted within his constitutional authority and cannot be questioned about acts that were legal.

By contrast, Ty Cobb, a lawyer the White House hired in July to handle its response to the Russia probe, has argued that Trump should absolutely cooperate with Mueller. But his advice appears to have been drowned out by Dowd, who has “taken the lead” on dealing with Mueller about an interview and has been in talks with Mueller’s office since December.

A number of prominent lawmakers have also echoed Dowd’s advice that Trump should not cooperate. One of them is Chris Christie, the former governor of New Jersey who, for a brief period, led the presidential transition team. “I don’t think the president of the United States, unless there are credible allegations — which I don’t believe there are — should be sitting across from a special counsel,” Christie said during an appearance on ABC’s Good Morning America.

Christie added that he doesn’t believe the president should answer questions about possible obstruction of justice. “That’s a very high standard to meet … I don’t think we’ve met that high standard yet as to President Trump, but we’ve got to continue to watch it,” he said. “Because the one thing I can tell you for sure, and one of the things I loved about being a prosecutor, was only I knew what I knew. Only Bob Mueller really knows what he knows and we won’t know it for awhile.”

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich also weighed in recently, telling Fox and Friends last month that “putting Trump in a room with five or six hardened, very clever lawyers, all of whom are trying to trick him and trap him, would be a very, very bad idea.”

When Reuters asked the White House legal team to comment on the news, Trump’s attorneys sent a statement that said the discussions between the president’s personal lawyers and the special counsel’s office “regarding how and under what terms information will be exchanged are understandably private.”

I stopped reading right there.
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 Bahamut.Ravael
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By Bahamut.Ravael 2018-02-06 13:34:44
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I stopped reading right here:
Candlejack said: »
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 13:43:42
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Since we are on the topic let's discuss things that "might" happen.

I might find true love at Applebee's.

I might find an Asian woman that hates anime.

I might win the lottery.

I might read a book from start to finish.

I might find a feminist without red hair.

I might save 15% on car insurance with GEICO.
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 Garuda.Chanti
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By Garuda.Chanti 2018-02-06 17:53:33
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You might not need a flu shot.

Flu season is all in our heads, Texas televangelist says: 'Inoculate yourself with the word of God'

Dallas News

Quote:
More than 70 people are dead in North Texas after one of the worst bouts of flu in recent years.

But Tarrant County televangelist Gloria Copeland, a faith adviser to President Donald Trump, wants you to know there is no such thing as flu season.

"We got a duck season, a deer season, but we don't have a flu season," she said in a Facebook video posted last week that's making headlines. "And don't receive it when somebody threatens you with, 'Everyone's getting the flu!'"

She went on: "Jesus himself gave us the flu shot. He redeemed us from the curse of flu." ...
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By 2018-02-06 17:56:05
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By fonewear 2018-02-06 18:17:04
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This is America you don't have to get a flu shot. It's in the Constitution.
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By Viciouss 2018-02-06 18:20:00
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There is no denying the flu is really bad this year, but I have never gotten a flu shot.
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