Ebola

Eorzea Time
 
 
 
Language: JP EN FR DE
Version 3.1
New Items
users online
Ebola
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-09-21 03:13:11
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Creating a thread dedicated to just ebola information.

It's a bad situation in West Africa that is only going to get worse in the short term. Hopefully, new infection cases will peak and start dropping in the next few weeks/months and it won't spread to any more countries.

Last week 700 new cases were reported.

A group of health workers, journalists, and officials were killed in Guinea as some villagers think health workers are spreading the disease.

More than 2,600 people confirmed killed from Ebola.

WHO warns of more than 20,000 becoming infected before this outbreak is controlled.

So far this has a mortality rate of 55%~. But this seems to be increasing in the last few weeks. As people can't get treatment and/or start doubting/fearing officials and health workers

Ebola outbreak: Guinea health team killed

Ebola crisis: Sierra Leone begins three-day lockdown

1,000 beds were needed for infected Ebola patients but only 240 were available, leading to people being turned away from treatment centres.
[+]
 Valefor.Sehachan
Guide Maker
Offline
Server: Valefor
Game: FFXI
user: Seha
Posts: 24219
By Valefor.Sehachan 2014-09-21 06:17:31
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Just yesterday I was reading that even doctors and nurses are starting to flee from Sierra Leone, there's now only one hospital left operative there and it's swarmed by infected people(don't forget malaria is also widespread). Many are going to shamans and things like that not knowing what else to do, but it's just causing things to spread faster.
[+]
 Ragnarok.Sekundes
Offline
Server: Ragnarok
Game: FFXI
user: Sekundes
Posts: 4189
By Ragnarok.Sekundes 2014-09-21 07:40:31
Link | Quote | Reply
 
With everything about this, the most disturbing part to me is the people who think Ebola is fake and won't follow quarantine instructions or literally break people out of quarantined zones.

I mean holy ***... This is the most important part about keeping this thing contained and people are so hard headed that they are literally assisting the virus.

I mean some are even killing volunteers and medical staff. It's no wonder this is getting so bad.
[+]
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-09-21 14:14:43
Link | Quote | Reply
 

Sierra Leone looks to extend Ebola lockdown past today into next week


Quote:
The lockdown has been unpopular and locals have complained of food shortages and serious economic consequences. But on Sunday night, a senior official told Reuters that the exercise might not be over yet.

"There is a very strong possibility it will be extended," Stephen Gaojia, head of the Emergency Operations Centre, which leads the national Ebola response, told Reuters after meeting President Ernest Bai Koroma. "Even though the exercise has been a huge success so far, it has not been concluded in some metropolitan cities like Freetown and Kenema," he said.

Gaojia said 92 bodies had been recovered across the country by the end of Saturday, the second day of the lockdown, and 123 people had contacted the authorities, believing they might be infected. Of these, 56 had tested positive for Ebola, 31 tested negative and 36 were awaiting their results.

...

Kabarie Fofanah, another volunteer, said some families were refusing food out of fear that it was poisoned. Turay and Fofanah both encountered Freetown residents who feared the soap being distributed by outreach teams was poisoned and potentially lethal.
[+]
 Cerberus.Senkyuutai
Offline
Server: Cerberus
Game: FFXI
user: Yuffy
Posts: 4415
By Cerberus.Senkyuutai 2014-09-21 15:08:31
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Arrived in France last week, people were shitting bricks "omg Ebola is in France omg omg".

It's fine, they've had vaccine for decades, they just need to find a way to make a profit out of it. I'm not worried, even if I can't afford it.

I'm worried about Liberia, though.
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-09-21 15:22:24
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Fear and false alarms as Ebola puts Europe on alert
After the death of a Spanish missionary who contracted the virus in Liberia, European authorities are taking no chances
 Leviathan.Xsoahc
Offline
Server: Leviathan
Game: FFXI
user: ChaosX128
Posts: 107
By Leviathan.Xsoahc 2014-09-21 16:28:47
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Y'all need to hide yo kids, hide yo wife, and hide yo husband cause Ebola is coming!
[+]
Offline
Server: Balmung
Game: FFXIV
user: daoming
Posts: 3
By Dao Ming 2014-09-21 18:09:26
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Not even gonna touch this thread.

Nope nope nope.
Offline
Posts: 42635
By Jetackuu 2014-09-21 19:23:28
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Ragnarok.Sekundes said: »
With everything about this, the most disturbing part to me is the people who think Ebola is fake and won't follow quarantine instructions or literally break people out of quarantined zones.

I mean holy ***... This is the most important part about keeping this thing contained and people are so hard headed that they are literally assisting the virus.

I mean some are even killing volunteers and medical staff. It's no wonder this is getting so bad.
People in large groups are really really stupid.

It's a shame we have to spend time diverting things to crap like ISIS when we could be focusing more resources on helping this situation, it's just outright horrible.

It could happen here, people don't think it could, but it could very well happen here.
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-09-23 14:23:46
Link | Quote | Reply
 
The New England Journal of Medicine published an article today
Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections
WHO Ebola Response Team
[+]
Offline
Posts: 4027
By Blazed1979 2014-09-23 14:33:21
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Saw a news report last month of Liberians raiding a WHO station and seriously injuring the doctors there because they claim Ebola was a distraction to get people talking about something other than the corrupt government. Fun times.

The WHO tells them to stop eating bush-meat, so they go on a Bush-meat eating frenzy.

Thanks Liberia. Obama.
 Siren.Mosin
Offline
Server: Siren
Game: FFXI
user: BKiddo
By Siren.Mosin 2014-09-23 14:42:13
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Bahamut.Kara said: »
The New England Journal of Medicine published an article today
Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa — The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections
WHO Ebola Response Team

that's a pretty grim forecast.
[+]
 Valefor.Sehachan
Guide Maker
Offline
Server: Valefor
Game: FFXI
user: Seha
Posts: 24219
By Valefor.Sehachan 2014-09-23 14:45:12
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Did you seriously just post Alex Jones? Really?
[+]
Offline
Posts: 4027
By Blazed1979 2014-09-23 15:11:35
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Valefor.Sehachan said: »
Did you seriously just post Alex Jones? Really?
what?....
He had a space-Pajama party with the Illuminati in Bohemian Grove. He knows his sh!t.
[+]
 Bahamut.Milamber
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: milamber
Posts: 3691
By Bahamut.Milamber 2014-09-23 16:33:00
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic — Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015
Quote:
If trends continue without additional interventions, the model estimates that Liberia and Sierra Leone will have approximately 8,000 total Ebola cases (21,000 total cases when corrected for underreporting) by September 30, 2014 (Figure 1). Liberia will account for approximately 6,000 cases (16,000 corrected for underreporting) (Appendix [Figure 1]). Total cases in the two countries combined are doubling approximately every 20 days (Figure 1). Cases in Liberia are doubling every 15–20 days, and those in Sierra Leone are doubling every 30–40 days (Appendix [Figure 1]).
By September 30, 2014, without additional interventions and using the described likelihood of going to an ETU, approximately 670 daily beds in use (1,700 corrected for underreporting) will be needed in Liberia and Sierra Leone (Figure 2). Extrapolating trends to January 20, 2015, without additional interventions or changes in community behavior (e.g., notable reductions in unsafe burial practices), the model also estimates that Liberia and Sierra Leone will have approximately 550,000 Ebola cases (1.4 million when corrected for underreporting) (Appendix [Figure 2]). The uncorrected estimates of cases for Liberia on September 9, 2014, were 2,618, and the actual reported cases were 2,407 (i.e., model overestimated cases by +8.8%). The uncorrected estimates of cases for Sierra Leone on September 13, 2014, were 1,505 and the actual reported cases were 1,620 (i.e., model underestimated cases by -7.6%).
Results from the two illustrative scenarios provide an example of how the epidemic can be controlled and eventually stopped. If, by late December 2014, approximately 70% of patients were placed either in ETUs or home or in a community setting such that there is a reduced risk for disease transmission (including safe burial when needed), then the epidemic in both countries would almost be ended by January 20, 2015 (Appendix [Figure 3]). In the first scenario, once 70% of patients are effectively isolated, the outbreak decreases at a rate nearly equal to the initial rate of increase. In the second scenario, starting an intervention on September 23, 2014, such that initially the percentage of all patients in ETUs are increased from 10% to 13% and thereafter including continual increases until 70% of all patients are in an ETU by December 22, 2014, results in a peak of 1,335 daily cases (3,408 cases estimated using corrected data) and <300 daily cases by January 20, 2015 (Appendix [Figure 10]). Delaying the start of the intervention until October 23, 2014, results in the peak increasing to 4,178 daily cases (10,646 cases estimated using corrected data). Delaying the start further, until November 22, results in 10,184 daily cases (25,847 estimated using corrected data) by January 20, 2015, which is the last date included in the model (Appendix [Figure 10]).
[+]
 Leviathan.Chaosx
Offline
Server: Leviathan
Game: FFXI
user: ChaosX128
Posts: 20284
By Leviathan.Chaosx 2014-09-23 16:47:14
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Bahamut.Milamber said: »
Estimating the Future Number of Cases in the Ebola Epidemic — Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014–2015
Quote:
If trends continue without additional interventions, the model estimates that Liberia and Sierra Leone will have approximately 8,000 total Ebola cases (21,000 total cases when corrected for underreporting) by September 30, 2014 (Figure 1). Liberia will account for approximately 6,000 cases (16,000 corrected for underreporting) (Appendix [Figure 1]). Total cases in the two countries combined are doubling approximately every 20 days (Figure 1). Cases in Liberia are doubling every 15–20 days, and those in Sierra Leone are doubling every 30–40 days (Appendix [Figure 1]).
By September 30, 2014, without additional interventions and using the described likelihood of going to an ETU, approximately 670 daily beds in use (1,700 corrected for underreporting) will be needed in Liberia and Sierra Leone (Figure 2). Extrapolating trends to January 20, 2015, without additional interventions or changes in community behavior (e.g., notable reductions in unsafe burial practices), the model also estimates that Liberia and Sierra Leone will have approximately 550,000 Ebola cases (1.4 million when corrected for underreporting) (Appendix [Figure 2]). The uncorrected estimates of cases for Liberia on September 9, 2014, were 2,618, and the actual reported cases were 2,407 (i.e., model overestimated cases by +8.8%). The uncorrected estimates of cases for Sierra Leone on September 13, 2014, were 1,505 and the actual reported cases were 1,620 (i.e., model underestimated cases by -7.6%).
Results from the two illustrative scenarios provide an example of how the epidemic can be controlled and eventually stopped. If, by late December 2014, approximately 70% of patients were placed either in ETUs or home or in a community setting such that there is a reduced risk for disease transmission (including safe burial when needed), then the epidemic in both countries would almost be ended by January 20, 2015 (Appendix [Figure 3]). In the first scenario, once 70% of patients are effectively isolated, the outbreak decreases at a rate nearly equal to the initial rate of increase. In the second scenario, starting an intervention on September 23, 2014, such that initially the percentage of all patients in ETUs are increased from 10% to 13% and thereafter including continual increases until 70% of all patients are in an ETU by December 22, 2014, results in a peak of 1,335 daily cases (3,408 cases estimated using corrected data) and <300 daily cases by January 20, 2015 (Appendix [Figure 10]). Delaying the start of the intervention until October 23, 2014, results in the peak increasing to 4,178 daily cases (10,646 cases estimated using corrected data). Delaying the start further, until November 22, results in 10,184 daily cases (25,847 estimated using corrected data) by January 20, 2015, which is the last date included in the model (Appendix [Figure 10]).
Alex Jones agrees!

http://www.infowars.com/warning-over-1-million-ebola-cases-by-end-of-january/
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-09-26 06:44:55
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Sierra Leone widens Ebola quarantine to three more districts

Quote:
Sierra Leone's President Ernest Bai Koroma has widened a quarantine to include another one million people in an attempt to curb the spread of Ebola.

..

Two eastern districts have been isolated since the beginning of August and the extension of the indefinite quarantine means more than a third of Sierra Leone's 6.1 million population now finds itself unable to move freely.
[+]
 
Offline
Posts:
By 2014-09-26 07:04:33
 Undelete | Edit  | Link | Quote | Reply
 
Post deleted by User.
 
Offline
Posts:
By 2014-09-26 08:39:37
 Undelete | Edit  | Link | Quote | Reply
 
Post deleted by User.
 Ragnarok.Nausi
Offline
Server: Ragnarok
Game: FFXI
user: Nausi
Posts: 6709
By Ragnarok.Nausi 2014-09-26 09:09:07
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Zombie apocalypse is here! Get your guns!!!
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-10-06 12:36:12
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Ebola: Nurse possible infection in Spain
Quote:
A Spanish nurse who treated an Ebola victim in Madrid is thought to be the first person to have contracted the virus outside Africa, media there say.

The nurse tested positive for Ebola in initial tests and doctors are awaiting final results, according to reports.

She was a member of the team that treated Spanish priest Manuel Garcia Viejo, who died of Ebola on 25 September.
 Bahamut.Kara
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Kara
Posts: 3544
By Bahamut.Kara 2014-10-08 03:32:23
Link | Quote | Reply
 
More people isolated in Spain and a court order was issued to kill the couples dog since it "might" be a carrier
WHO warns of Ebola health care risks
Quote:
She remains in quarantine in the Spanish capital along with her husband and three other people. Another 50 people in Spain are being monitored.

....

In another development, the woman's husband is reported to be fighting a court order to have their pet dog put down over fears that it could be carrying the disease. Animal rights groups have also criticised the move, saying there is no evidence that Ebola has been spread by dogs.
 Bahamut.Miemo
Offline
Server: Bahamut
Game: FFXI
user: Miemo
Posts: 27
By Bahamut.Miemo 2014-10-08 04:35:01
Link | Quote | Reply
 
 Cerberus.Detzu
Offline
Server: Cerberus
Game: FFXI
user: Detzu
Posts: 869
By Cerberus.Detzu 2014-10-08 07:40:27
Link | Quote | Reply
 
Cerberus.Senkyuutai said: »
Arrived in France last week, people were shitting bricks "omg Ebola is in France omg omg".

It's fine, they've had vaccine for decades, they just need to find a way to make a profit out of it. I'm not worried, even if I can't afford it.

I'm worried about Liberia, though.

I'm just hoping that Mr Le Pen's joke and this epidemic is only a coincidence.